Based on opinion polls up until 9th May, Electoral Calculus are now projecting an increased Conservative majority. Interestingly they actually have the Liberals losing seats and the Greens losing Brighton.
I am less sure of the Brighton projection as Labour appear to have put up a paper candidate and are focusing on campaigning in Hove and Brighton Kemptown instead. Below is the current projection but I personally anticipate a swing from Labour to Greens that will enable Caroline Lucas to retain the seat.
I am less sure of the Brighton projection as Labour appear to have put up a paper candidate and are focusing on campaigning in Hove and Brighton Kemptown instead. Below is the current projection but I personally anticipate a swing from Labour to Greens that will enable Caroline Lucas to retain the seat.
Note: The Lib Dems are showing zero as they are not standing in this seat.